What about Moro? Can he have any influence on the municipal elections?

[soniya55531]

In any case, Bolsonaro has other reasons for engaging in the municipal campaign. For example: Rio de Janeiro. He wants to influence there because it is essential for his family to control the political spaces in Rio. All the signs that could negatively affect his and his family's image come from Rio. He has made several attempts to influence the police and politics in Rio, and he has succeeded.


In the municipal election, Eduardo Paes is a defendant, Roberto Jefferson's daughter is in jail, Witzel was removed from office, and Crivella also had an operation with him. So there is only one likely candidate in Rio, which is Luiz Lima. The pieces are falling apart due to judicial and police operations that we don't know why they started. This could be the worst possible influence. The pieces are falling apart and only Luiz Lima is left.


Few people vote, and they vote in a certain way. Voting depends on supply . If that supply is affected, you affect demand and the outcome. The strategy has been to reduce supply. He has a strategy to influence turkey mobile database Rio and a few other places, especially the Northeast. In the Northeast, with the launch of candidates with the same profile: anti-politics, anti-corruption, anti-communist, flat-earther and violence – all of Bolsonaro's rhetoric – we will be able to see if the electorate is still influenced by what seems to have been the 2018 agenda. See how this has evolved. It will be an interesting test of Bolsonarism.


I don't think so. I believe his political calculations got complicated. He didn't take any good steps.



Since his departure from the government and the split that occurred within Bolsonarism, between Bolsonaro's loyalists and Lava Jato's loyalists? How will this influence the election?

This is a separate situation. There is a brand called “Lava Jato”. But the operation in Rio is one thing, in São Paulo it is another, in Curitiba it is another. And the agents use the prosecutors for different purposes, killing each other. In Rio it is Bretas, the judge. In Paraná, it is Moro and Dallagnol. In the end, the losers are Brazilian politics . Everything is left in a great shadow. It takes away the rationality of voting. And the public sector loses capacity.



Regarding the left. PT is an unknown quantity. Will it insist on the strategy of having its own candidate, avoiding coalitions, etc. What can we expect from the left in the election?

I see that the left has a structural disadvantage . This affects all left-wing parties. Not only in Brazil, but in all countries in the world. Other sectors of the State are positioning themselves against the left. This has been happening since Lava Jato, in Italy since Manos Limpas. And this has deeper causes that do not make sense here. The left has an exit problem that affects exit strategies and can influence voting behavior.